Lottery Patterns and the Geometry of Chance


In 2014, a mathematician named Renato Gianella wrote a paper called The Geometry of Chance, showing some impressive combinatorics which were justified by the law of large numbers. For this page to make sense, you will probably need to read her paper, or at least the introduction. The probability of winning lotto 6/49 is 1 chance in 13,983,816. Keep in mind that probability is simply how likely something is to happen. Theoretically, we do not believe Gianella showed a reduction in probable outcomes based on a single pick. Gianella created 5 colored groups of 10 numbers and showed that selecting numbers with an even distribution between those groups is preferred. We spotted 2 flaws in the theory. The first flaw is even if you choose an even distribution of numbers from different color groups, your odds are still the same. In fact, determining the groups of 10 numbers is completely random anyway. The second flaw is that the lotteries do not have what we call a large result set. Because of the small number of winning results per lottery, the Law of Large numbers does not apply readily.

LotteryTracker focuses on statistics because we find real data to be more insightful. Taking Gianella’s concept of templates, LotteryTracker has the ability to rotate color groups in 3D space, where we notice that some patterns have higher winning frequencies. Our statistics constantly update with new draw results. The 4 tables below show proof that various color groups yield more interesting results. We are not necessarily showing the most optimal color group selection because this is our secret. There are over 1 trillion ways to choose 5 groups of 10 numbers.

Lotto 6/49